THE ECONOMY OF INDIA IS SERIOUSLY HIT DUE TO A WORLDWIDE STAGNANT ECONOMY
OVERVIEW OF INDIAN INDUSTRY AND
SECTORIAL GROWTH
India is one of those developing
nations in the world whose most of the factories and industrial units are run
manually or under the assistance of some professional workers. Due to the
stagnation of the economy of the world, the sectors which demand high manpower
in India are suffering hard. As the Global Trade Data
shows a decline in the world, the responsibility to balance this is going to be
taken by some of the advanced economies of the world like the United States and
majorly the European countries.
Based on the Export Import Data of India, the
United States and the EU nations are India’s biggest export partners. If the
economies of these two nations would also sink, then India has to suffer losses
in its exports. India exports textiles, footwear, and leather items to these
nations in abundance. India will never be in the favor of declining economy of
the United States or any country from the EU group.
WORLD IS GOING THROUGH AN ECONOMIC
SLOWDOWN – REPORT
Based on the report of S&P Global
for the month of November 2022, the Global Trade Data or the global
growth is going to drop to 2.2% in 2023 which is a sharp decline as compared to
2022 growth which was 3.4%. The Growth of the United States is set to fall by
0.1% whereas no change is observed in the case of EU nations. This decline is
here due to the strict monetary policies that are applied to crucial economies
manifests.
There is no doubt that if the
interest rates are grown on products, the demand for those products would
decline as they will become more expensive but at the same time, it will lead
to economic and global slowdown as the demand retards in the market which in
turn leads to piling of stock and economic slowdown or malfunction.
As per another report published by
IMF in January 2023, the economies of advanced countries would also get
affected in 2023 and would decline to a certain extent. According to World
Trade Organization (WTO) also, the Global Trade Data along with Export
Import Data will come down to 1% in 2023 from 3.5% in 2022. This update is
indeed a setback for India as the growth rate and cycle of India became well in
sync with that of advanced economies which now will get cluttered again. Due to
this global slowdown, the demand for Indian-made products will decline in
foreign nations. The major shortfall will be from the United States and EU who
contributed to 18% and 15.5% respectively in Indian Exports.
Based on the Export Import Data
report of India, the largest exports that India do to the EU are:
·
Leather articles (46.2% of total leather articles exports)
·
Footwear (42.7% of total footwear exports)
·
Textiles (28.9% of total textiles exports)
·
Iron and steel (23.9% of total iron and steel exports)
·
Organic chemicals (21.1% of total Organic chemicals exports)
Based on the Import Export Data
report of India, the largest exports that India do to the US are:
·
Textile and rags made-ups (47.6% of total made-up exports)
·
Pharmaceutical products (37.7% of total pharmaceutical
products exports)
·
Marine products (33.5% of total marine products exports)
·
Textile (27.5% of total textile exports)
·
Organic chemicals (21.1% of total Organic chemicals exports)
As we noticed from the data the
contribution of EU nations and the US in leather articles and made-ups
respectively is very big and due to the economic slowdown, these two items from
India would suffer huge losses and slowdown.
CONCLUSION
Adhish Verma, the senior economist at
Crisil released his statement stating that numerous labor-intensive goods like
textiles, footwear, and leather items are experiencing headwinds in India. The
problem can be aggravated further if the economies of advanced countries also
slow down. India should focus on exporting more and more resilient goods from
the machinery or the pharma sector in order to maintain the balance of trade.
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